Warrambool Carnival Day 2
Over the Sticks
Superb jumps racing on Day 1 of the carnival and we managed to snag a couple of winners and finish the day in front. Hopefully we can do the same today. Race 5, The Steeple is a riddle and the Hurdle looks a cracking race.
Loves to lead and in a much weaker fieled here compared to last start. I have never been a big fan of this horse who is nearly always short in the market but if anything puts pressure on it he doesn't tend to find much, stepping out of the big fences here and he may get away with a very soft run in the weak field but at the price i coudn't entertain.
The trainer ripped the Bool a new one yesterday so need to keep a watch on all of his today. Warmed up nicely for this on the flat before a steeple trial. Appeals at the odds.
Won well on the flat last start and has had 2 jumps trials since. A chance in an even race.
Won a weak hurdle race at Hamilton before plodding around on the flat last start, had a trial over the steeples to be fit for this, not hopeless.
5, Looking Around
Will have been set for this so improvement would not surprize, but if it wins, I lose.
6, Once Were Lost
In the market and there has been some money for it so improved performance expected, would need to take on trust given recent efforts but not without a hope.
7, Persian Springs
Not for me today.
8, Under The Bridge
Surprized with a win on the flat over 1620m before tuning up with a trial over the big sticks, obviously a big chance but doesn’t seem value.
The market is dominated by the two favs but I really think they are both under the odds, I prefer Under the Bridge to Runaway but can’t back either. Very difficult to work out best way to play this race. Have decided to lay Runaway and have a small spec on three others.
Lay Runaway to lose 1.5 Units
2, Elvision .50 Units
3, Hierachal .50 Units
8, Once Were Lost. .50 Units
1, Saunter Boy
Impressive winner at Pakenham and will be primed for this today.
3, Big Blue
Quality jumper but I am banking on it being set for other upcoming races
4, Out And Dreaming
Led and then fought back hard late at Pakenham, will be in this a long way.
Steeples is on the back beans and toast tonight if this wins.
6, ST Arnica
Was a bit disappointing for mine at Pakenham , astute trainer but would be surprized if he could turn the tables on the others from that race.
Payne’s horses performed very poorly yesterday so that needs to be considered here. He did work home well last start.
Has been performing well but outclassed here for mine.
At the odds have to back Out and Dreaming and small chop out Eckhart
4, Out and Dreaming. 2.25 units a win
7, Eckhart .75 units a win
Good luck !